TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e5f…1dc6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$91.11
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.2%+$477.76
Will Fulham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+203%+$91.36
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Everton (-0.5)backed Fulham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.45
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$58.76
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.96
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.27
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Will Everton win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$45.85
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65.36
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.7
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$119.3
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19.19
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.09
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50.65
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$117.28
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.8
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)backed Borussia Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.74
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.46
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.43
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$72.75
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Bluesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Hurricanesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Michael Morales win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+316.7%+$110.84
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+104.1%+$41.63
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35.1
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+239%+$119.49
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+217.5%+$217.54
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+207.5%+$292.62
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.1
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.49
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.14
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$37.5
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.29
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Braves vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$53.54
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.09
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$48.9
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$49.97
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+122%+$23.18
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$57.9
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$52.94
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+170.3%+$56.19
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$88.99
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$166.22
Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+178.4%+$79.03
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
Jacksonville State vs. UTEPbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.