South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29bb3c7afb0d5f883baa7476167387aa639c2ffc0fa3647abc658a9329ea158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.99 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 49c | 13,164$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.34 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 65c | 4,412$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.21 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 29c | 3,999$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.15 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,423$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 1,192$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.64 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 33c | 800.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.48 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 48c | 542.75$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 380$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 49c | 195.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed No | 52c | 193.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…8437backed Yes | 52c | 193.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 175.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 47c | 124.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 52c | 83.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…b038backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…d675backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 64.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Yes | 62c | 39.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked Yes | 47c | 36.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 36.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Yes | 50c | 32.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 32c | 31.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…2125backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…cca9backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 25.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 46c | 22.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3b…7bf1backed Yes | 53c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…4f81backed Yes | 53c | 18.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed No | 69c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba win on 2025-11-15?this page
- Will CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.