Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x233fce50b82cb097065fdac7b5701c4d2b407ed23c22cc78b971ceea7e409d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 29,999$18,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,923.29 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 42c | 29,914$12,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,563.88 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 10,882$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.62 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 39c | 9,999$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 4,715$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.09 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 44c | 4,572$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1470…7cbebacked Yes | 41c | 3,656$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 43c | 3,614$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 2,557$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.18 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 44c | 2,050$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,971$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 57c | 1,899$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.1 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed No | 58c | 1,709$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 56c | 1,560$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.54 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,347$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,241$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 44c | 1,142$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 27c | 1,097$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 967$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.37 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 42c | 942.13$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.75 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 43c | 851.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.85 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 59c | 850$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 67c | 828.36$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 51c | 783.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 59c | 743.71$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.81 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 581.89$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed No | 58c | 461.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 44c | 426.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 44c | 368.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 340$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +220%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 60c | 311.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 308$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae7…7ee5backed Yes | 41c | 286.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 59c | 240.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 47c | 221.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 59c | 168.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 59c | 155.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 59c | 149.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 41c | 148.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…af43backed Yes | 28c | 140.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 68c | 132.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 132.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 38c | 131.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…9b52backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4809…eec2backed Yes | 44c | 116.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 39c | 114.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 43c | 105.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 44c | 97.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…3d62backed Yes | 44c | 87.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 46c | 86.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 60c | 85.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 41c | 81.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 57c | 73.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 24c | 73.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed Yes | 66c | 66.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f2b5backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 44c | 53.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed No | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…28b6backed Yes | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…be77backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…2489backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Como win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.