Serie A · resolved market
Will Como win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8aa173880ad6e5b7044699b9cb8647faec9e4161616ff39c570aeb2c65924b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6053…3a85backed Yes | 50c | 6,601$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 6,072$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.85 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,762$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.64 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 5,126$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.66 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 2,959$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.05 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 30c | 2,531$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…ac31backed Yes | 32c | 1,833$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…0534backed No | 70c | 1,833$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ef…f3dfbacked No | 70c | 1,828$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…2b82backed Yes | 33c | 1,828$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6c31backed Yes | 33c | 1,800$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…2f53backed No | 70c | 1,793$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 69c | 889.42$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.72 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 72c | 695$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 30c | 664$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 25c | 629.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 21c | 585.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 576.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 73c | 374.03$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 69c | 350$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 346.15$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 70c | 303.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 67c | 299.56$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 31c | 177.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 159.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 32c | 101.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…aa05backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 28c | 89.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 72c | 84.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…83fcbacked Yes | 28c | 81.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 73c | 75.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 30c | 64.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…be77backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 31c | 53.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…8cb1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 72c | 32.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ed…cd71backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Atalanta vs. Como end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.