TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6324…95b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,437.87
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,021.91
Will Como win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.38
Will Lazio win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$706.07
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$702.32
Will Cagliari vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Will Como win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.76
Will Torino win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$195.46
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.61
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+88.4%+$132.75
Will AC Milan vs. Bologna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.51
Will Lazio win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$226
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$242.67
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$209.53
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$360.46
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$493.28
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.06
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. M80backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,351.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$149.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$519.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$788.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.