Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98c9fb4d5335f95dc78a03ce6362ec21ae49e4a5426dfa8a0120ab4367f287a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 24c | 193,805$46,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,513.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 74c | 150,000$110,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,008.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 76c | 83,350$63,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,004 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 72,328$18,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800.54 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 76c | 40,000$30,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 26c | 18,257$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.88 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 26c | 9,098$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.42 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,496$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.89 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 1,365$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.81 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 1,284$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,032$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 27c | 880$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.2 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 26c | 569$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…582dbacked Yes | 25c | 400.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 26c | 363.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 26c | 294$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 27c | 237.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 26c | 181.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…8e23backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 31.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-21?Yes won
- Will Torino vs. Atalanta end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.