Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e17a5949163833203e1903213f4da2baf1277c6246f158aad9b431493ee0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 43c | 66,246$28,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,760.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 59c | 39,999$23,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,599.6 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 21,186$11,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,228.33 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 15,623$6,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,151.2 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 53c | 15,000$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,051.97 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 42c | 11,970$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.75 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 4,543$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.48 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 68c | 3,041$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.52 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 46c | 2,693$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 54c | 2,113$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.15 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 47c | 1,272$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.01 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 999.92$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 979$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 580$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 57c | 571.41$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.7 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 57c | 475.42$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 445.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 41c | 440$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 56c | 394.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 42c | 372$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 344$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 43c | 323$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 45c | 252$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 43c | 240$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 43c | 230.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 41c | 153.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 44c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 44c | 106.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 82.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 41c | 69.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…4230backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 52c | 57.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 54c | 51.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…90c1backed Yes | 48c | 27.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Torino vs. Atalanta end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.