TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bb4…acb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT7356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Jan Choinskibacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$786.18
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,217.94
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$528.42
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$429.97
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,382.52
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$529.41
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,575.49
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$340.08
Oeiras 3: Petra Marcinko vs Sinja Krausbacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,021.98
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$664.06
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublevbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.65
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Machac (+1.5)backed Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.11
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$967.13
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,606.8
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$296.25
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$283.8
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,411.09
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$317.78
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,671Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.2%+$939.96
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,664
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+74.6%+$1,410
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,341Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$521.36
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$241.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$252
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$353.99
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.5%+$203.79
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+124.7%+$333
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Newcastle United vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.38
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$840
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,636Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+81.9%+$2,158.03
Will Fluminense vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$791.34
Will Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$1,660
Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal: 4+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+88.4%+$1,032
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+62%+$564.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+356.6%+$7,214.77
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,186.35
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$3,205.91
Will Inter win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$42.07
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,685.96
Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.99
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,099.98
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,524.18
Will Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+378%+$3,152.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$911.56
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,300
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$109.74
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$2,219.97
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.78
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,956Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$2,529.18
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,109.83
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,280.78
Will the Celtics beat the Magic 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$875.81
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13,577.44
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,598.48
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$675
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,554.85
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$640
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,746Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+26%+$454.73
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,384.8
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+31.7%+$1,493
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$324
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$198.45
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$159.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,799.32
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$335.96
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,280
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+48.7%+$222.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+51.6%+$232.33
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.47
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$96
Will Brighton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,580.93
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$460
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+119.5%+$1,217.3
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,299.42
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$2,200.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs. FC Basel 1893: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29%+$306.49
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$150.95
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. SK Rapid Wien end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$370
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,141.14
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$403.79
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$406.63
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$63.69
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$919.61
Will AZ Alkmaar win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$616.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,031.25
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$253.5
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+35%+$511.99
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,578.1
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$245.31
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,462Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,462
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$217.01
Will Valencia win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$934
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.46
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.15
Will Czechia win on 2025-10-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$302.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$165.6
Cardinals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$369.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$62.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$115
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.26
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$92.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$213.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,702.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,223.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.