Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8943525aa1e76de40518cf4d4f3987d305ea27182273ac0152321b4afe1962d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Kopriva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Kopriva | 58c | 2,540$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.81 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cobolli | 42c | 1,651$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.79 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Cobolli | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kopriva | 58c | 270.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…7848backed Kopriva | 59c | 244.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Kopriva | 57c | 235$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Cobolli | 45c | 216.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Cobolli | 46c | 209.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Kopriva | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Kopriva | 59c | 178.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…1f40backed Kopriva | 61c | 120.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Cobolli | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Cobolli | 46c | 106.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Kopriva | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Kopriva | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kopriva | 56c | 74.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Cobolli | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Cobolli | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kopriva | 19c | 52.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Kopriva | 57c | 50.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 41c | 50.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Kopriva | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Kopriva | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Kopriva | 44c | 48.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cobolli | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Cobolli | 64c | 45.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Cobolli | 46c | 42.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Cobolli | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 47c | 36.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Kopriva | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Cobolli | 45c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)this page
- BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit KoprivaFlavio Cobolli won
- Cobolli vs. Kopriva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs KoprivaCobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.