TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab4c…2a53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.46
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.54
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)backed Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Milan: Daniel Rincon vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Wimbledon ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Filsbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$112.08
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94.32
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Stefan Haitabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$52.58
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$127.26
Bad Homburg Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Gabriela Rusebacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Tunis: Ilia Simakin vs Laurent Lokolibacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.38
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Aix en Provence: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.35
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)backed Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Moutet (+1.5)backed Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.55
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$21.1
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.37per pick45cpaid-85.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.55
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Traktorbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Lada Togliatti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$234.78
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$250
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. HC Sochibacked HC Sochi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$31
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58.86
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+128.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+94.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.28
MarginFi airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.8
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$13.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.