Premier League · resolved market
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c68b0e0a3636a8033d25f28925ac52279be1085cca71a9a2c1a6cc55cfda03e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $640,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $673,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Spain | 55c | 170,524$93,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,137.83 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked France | 45c | 95,835$42,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,805.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…8e93backed France | 46c | 78,947$36,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,069.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Spain | 55c | 66,937$37,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,798.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked France | 46c | 60,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,499.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed France | 44c | 29,330$12,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,913.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Spain | 53c | 23,750$12,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,048.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed France | 46c | 20,301$9,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,286.08 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…358dbacked France | 46c | 20,050$9,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,222.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Spain | 55c | 17,417$9,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,913.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked France | 44c | 13,144$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…3b75backed France | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…d35fbacked Spain | 55c | 8,281$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…e3e8backed Spain | 56c | 8,183$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Spain | 63c | 8,000$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.31 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked France | 44c | 7,546$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.39 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Spain | 55c | 6,310$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…c17fbacked Spain | 57c | 6,109$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…ac52backed Spain | 53c | 6,038$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed France | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed France | 45c | 5,878$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…f795backed France | 47c | 5,784$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc7…2f28backed France | 47c | 5,784$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…3cbcbacked France | 47c | 5,783$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…be91backed France | 47c | 5,783$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed France | 45c | 5,735$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.35 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked France | 32c | 5,503$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Spain | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Spain | 60c | 5,094$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…b541backed Spain | 55c | 5,079$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Spain | 55c | 4,886$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.05 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked France | 44c | 4,688$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.55 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked France | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed France | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Spain | 56c | 3,819$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Spain | 55c | 3,451$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…c1dbbacked Spain | 53c | 3,018$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed France | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…4580backed France | 48c | 2,661$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Spain | 53c | 2,602$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…cf14backed Spain | 54c | 2,557$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Spain | 55c | 2,508$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Spain | 54c | 2,427$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.23 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Spain | 52c | 2,390$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed France | 47c | 2,243$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Spain | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed France | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Spain | 54c | 2,000$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Spain | 55c | 1,998$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.18 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…9cd5backed France | 42c | 1,847$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Spain | 55c | 1,744$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Spain | 55c | 1,742$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.49 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…dd8abacked France | 46c | 1,724$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed France | 42c | 1,654$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.14 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed France | 19c | 1,604$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Spain | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…24b6backed Spain | 53c | 1,536$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…a12cbacked Spain | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed France | 29c | 1,429$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spain | 54c | 1,291$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…b140backed Spain | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Spain | 54c | 1,254$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…3134backed France | 19c | 1,250$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…fb6cbacked Spain | 54c | 1,158$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Spain | 54c | 1,138$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…0d34backed France | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…a98fbacked Spain | 53c | 1,112$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27a…13b7backed Spain | 54c | 1,099$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…938fbacked France | 47c | 1,093$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…3d0ebacked France | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…6121backed Spain | 57c | 1,044$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked France | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed France | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…be18backed Spain | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…0baebacked France | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +155%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…1516backed Spain | 35c | 871.02$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b2…3737backed Spain | 54c | 850.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked France | 47c | 848$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…674bbacked France | 41c | 846.63$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Spain | 55c | 836.45$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.78 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…235ebacked France | 60c | 828.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed France | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9c…8c18backed France | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…faf9backed France | 52c | 767.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked France | 38c | 754.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…76dfbacked Spain | 54c | 740.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…fd2fbacked Spain | 53c | 712.72$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…74bfbacked Spain | 77c | 668.49$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…215ebacked Spain | 53c | 650.75$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dc…7283backed Spain | 51c | 645$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…21d8backed Spain | 57c | 629.39$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9f…3b8abacked Spain | 75c | 599.99$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Spain | 55c | 595.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spain | 52c | 547.57$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Spain | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Spain | 55c | 537.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Spain | 54c | 534.69$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…d9bebacked Spain | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…a0fbbacked France | 47c | 513.53$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed France | 47c | 512.77$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.