TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cd9…1095

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST6752.2%35 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$285.64
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+316.7%+$42.03
Will Everton win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$10
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.49
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+138.1%+$29
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+42.9%+$35.11
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$215
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+28.2%+$66
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+132.8%+$305.14
Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$17.6
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$22.68
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+316.7%+$355.68
Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+25%+$20
Will Spurs win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Brentford win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.25
Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+25%+$17.65
Will Villa win on 2024-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$164
Will Wolves vs. Man City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$19.89
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT3342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+152.6%+$58
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$42.66
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$17
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+45.9%+$66.1
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$236.89
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
Cowboys vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$210
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.99
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+27.2%+$46.96
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+33.4%+$79.53
Cowboys vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.5
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT+306.7%+$325.95
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$117.5
Chiefs vs. Bengalsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$168
Ravens vs. Raidersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$400
Vikings vs. 49ersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+100%+$250
Packers vs. Coltsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Cowboys vs. Saintsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$124.44
Titans vs. Jetsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$900
Panthers vs. Chargersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$321.27
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$280
49ers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$102
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Atalanta win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Manchester City beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.85
Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+155.3%+$237.79
Will the match between Stade Brestois and Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$150.15
Will Stade Brestois beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
Will Atalanta beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$138
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$21
Will Juventus beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$62
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$124
Will Arsenal beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$96
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$21.6
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$114.18
Will Feyenoord beat Girona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.4
Will Stade Brestois beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will Stade Brestois beat Sturm Graz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$45.05
Will Monaco beat Barcelona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$918.91
Will Sturm Graz beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$23.27
Will Benfica beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$106.57
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$18.17
Will Bologna beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$147
Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$55.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+39.4%+$189.4
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+43.9%+$365.82
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$82.1
Women's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+361.7%+$1,214.48
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbiabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Ana Patricia Silva & Lisboa Duda (BRA) win Gold in Beach Volleyball?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
Will Marileidy Paulino (DOM) win gold in 400m W? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$17
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$300
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. Francebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$132.87
Olympic Basketball: USA (-27.5) vs. Brazil Spreadbacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.4
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. Francebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will Hubert Kos (HUN) win Gold in Men's 200m Backstroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royval vs. Tairabacked Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$179.36
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$162
Andrade vs. Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$14
Du Plessis vs. Adesanyabacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$191.53
Gamrot vs. Hookerbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$114.95
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. Deiveson Figueiredobacked Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$77.26
UFC Fight Night: Cory Sandhagen vs. Umar Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT+27.3%+$34.34
UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammadbacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.75
UFC 304: King Green vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$116.41
UFC 304: Arnold Allen vs. Giga Chikadzebacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+40.1%+$9.16
UFC Fight Night: Who will win - Lemos vs. Jandirobabacked Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
UFC Fight Night: Who will win - Holobaugh vs. Kruschewskybacked Kruschewsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.4
UFC 303: Who will win - Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka?backed Prochazka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$22.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark beat Serbia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+37%+$27
Will Serbia beat Denmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+69.5%+$10
Will Portugal beat Croatia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+212.5%+$217.01
Will France beat Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.01
Will Turkey beat Iceland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$130.76
Will Germany beat Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$138
Will Hungary beat Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Netherlands beat Hungary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$17.91
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Brazil - Who will advance? backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT+111.4%+$191.14
Will Venezuela win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Brazil win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will Colombia win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37.5%+$11.46
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+44.1%+$78.1
Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$179.2
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT+36.3%+$236.79
US Open: Zverev vs. Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$139.98
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$41.8
Will Qinwen Zheng (CHN) win Gold in Women’s Tennis?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.41
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$30.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$210
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+159.9%+$175.35
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$50
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$29.08
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mouz win IEM Rio 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+70.9%+$20.75
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win the ICC T20 Cricket World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.82
Will India win the ICC T20 Cricket World Cup backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$211.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.