Olympics · resolved market
Olympic Men’s Basketball: Germany vs. Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2752929c573dabeda80086789b9758a28c463ad56ef3a0a1f9d25a98a9885f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Serbiaof Germany, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1508…01bdbacked Serbia | 58c | 22,139$12,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,316.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Germany | 42c | 14,330$5,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.28 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Germany | 42c | 10,005$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Germany | 33c | 7,051$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Serbia | 57c | 5,461$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Germany | 45c | 3,347$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Serbia | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Germany | 10c | 3,254$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Germany | 46c | 2,754$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f156backed Germany | 19c | 2,529$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Germany | 44c | 2,161$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Serbia | 56c | 2,126$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Serbia | 73c | 2,072$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Serbia | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…64f5backed Germany | 25c | 1,916$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Germany | 8c | 1,910$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Serbia | 68c | 1,443$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Serbia | 69c | 1,340$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Germany | 7c | 1,334$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Germany | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Germany | 45c | 1,292$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Germany | 34c | 1,165$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Germany | 11c | 1,128$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Serbia | 56c | 1,000$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…cfc7backed Serbia | 69c | 760$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb999…8441backed Serbia | 55c | 671.18$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Germany | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…bbb7backed Germany | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Germany | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Germany | 43c | 466.42$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Germany | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Serbia | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Germany | 25c | 360.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Germany | 41c | 314.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8016…9894backed Serbia | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Serbia | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked Germany | 6c | 294.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Serbia | 72c | 276.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Germany | 10c | 268.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…e007backed Serbia | 55c | 259.64$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Germany | 39c | 255.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Germany | 24c | 212.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Germany | 42c | 204.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Serbia | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Germany | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Germany | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Germany | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked Germany | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd57…e1edbacked Serbia | 54c | 156.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Germany | 46c | 152.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Germany | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cc…29b3backed Germany | 23c | 112.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…dcf4backed Serbia | 55c | 100.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…7a04backed Germany | 18c | 97.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…5b3fbacked Serbia | 55c | 90.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…5f66backed Serbia | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Serbia | 56c | 89.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…7afbbacked Serbia | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Germany | 40c | 86.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Serbia | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…e7e7backed Serbia | 56c | 82.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…7dd5backed Germany | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…9629backed Serbia | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3633…054ebacked Serbia | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Germany | 45c | 66.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Serbia | 58c | 60.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7794…8df9backed Serbia | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…a1f9backed Serbia | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…62ebbacked Serbia | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Serbia | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Germany | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed Germany | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd465…0ab4backed Germany | 32c | 47.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Serbia | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…87d1backed Germany | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f5…8c66backed Serbia | 69c | 39.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…5772backed Serbia | 49c | 39.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Germany | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…6adabacked Serbia | 55c | 35.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Germany | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…eff5backed Serbia | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f33…f9d6backed Serbia | 58c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Serbia | 63c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Serbia | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…3941backed Serbia | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf407…1243backed Serbia | 56c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.