TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc50…4c82

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
632
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Stocks, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT58126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 581 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,578Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,577.85
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+3,058.8%+$948.03
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+232.1%+$3,242.88
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,407Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$2,623.88
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$366.95
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+1,236.9%+$4,263.54
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,505Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$11,207.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$93.68
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.86
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,817.9
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$92.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,037.67
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+54%+$353.73
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,338.77
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.4
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Showing 25 of 581 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST2250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+112.8%+$53
Eagles vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,917Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+242.9%+$7,083.43
Texans vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,005.9
Chiefs vs. Bengalsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,690Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+40.2%+$1,883.39
Broncos vs. Steelersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,453.11
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,924.5
Ravens vs. Raidersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$30.81
Jaguars vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+185.7%+$1,807.01
Lions vs. Buccaneersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Packers vs. Coltsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,812Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$2,608.22
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,720.5
Titans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12,790Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$7,194.6
Will there be 49 or more combined points scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$185.97
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$26,502.76
Will the Dolphins win by 3 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$485.97
49ers vs. Jetsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18,042Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+57%+$10,281.64
Buccaneers vs. Commandersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,521Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$3,668.12
Seahawks vs. Broncosbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,498Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$3,470.99
Dolphins vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,459.28
Chiefs vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,994.99
Will Lamar Jackson run for a TD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,515.08
Will there be 47 or more combined points scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,270Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$1,220.35
All 22 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+50%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.72
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$130.47
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.5%+$16.4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+184.4%+$270.39
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $425?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+242.8%+$249.45
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $430?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+156.7%+$150.05
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of November 10 above $450?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+30.9%+$16.27
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+67.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Poker — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa America Finals: Argentina vs. Colombiabacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$4,560.83
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Brazil - Who will advance? backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,660.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30,196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$30,196.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55,522Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+53%+$29,453.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$168
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
50kg W Boxing Final: Wu (CHN) vs. Cakiroglu (TUR)backed Cakiroglu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$176.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.