TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Jaguars vs. Browns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brownsof Jaguars, Browns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,541 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4cc3…7552backed Browns40c9,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9425137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Jaguars60c4,949$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.4413751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Browns39c4,638$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.0618645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jaguars61c3,200$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95213942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jaguars65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95034349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Browns35c2,780$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.012250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Browns35c2,700$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.015433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Browns39c2,596$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.5532438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Browns39c2,315$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.34436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jaguars24c2,269$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.8314457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars61c1,255$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.5736246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb60…56f8backed Browns72c1,178$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.931050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+106.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Jaguars60c1,003$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.8312051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars10c995.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.821713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Jaguars27c983.33$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2687847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jaguars42c977.22$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7212022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Jaguars3c721.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.632114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+209.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9c…d5c5backed Browns42c715.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Jaguars61c703.83$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7312827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb610…fa36backed Jaguars59c701.23$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x818d…282cbacked Jaguars60c667.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.311330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+155.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Jaguars19c634.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8117823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Jaguars28c600$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.225643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6116…f247backed Jaguars64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Browns41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x229d…ff2dbacked Browns41c473.48$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Browns75c454.97$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.393063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jaguars61c444$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8420736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed Jaguars27c424.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2210239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Browns35c412.98$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6524738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…321abacked Browns41c409.57$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a9d…39b7backed Jaguars11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe395…2a72backed Jaguars60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars6c374.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1d…fcc4backed Browns77c361.01$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.57560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c36…52b9backed Browns73c351.6$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.62862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Browns40c333$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.84143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8663…35e7backed Browns39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Jaguars39c253.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.775036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9313…ddb5backed Jaguars61c250.82$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Jaguars62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1130…f920backed Browns40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505457.4%31 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdc4…5a5dbacked Browns40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3d…50f3backed Browns41c245.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa715…a8bcbacked Jaguars36c222.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.911741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Browns80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407467.6%50 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jaguars61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12233047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Browns36c199.93$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9516139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…fb64backed Jaguars59c183.29$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.471580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7120…6d00backed Browns40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Jaguars60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b5…e05cbacked Jaguars34c165.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.343036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db1…35a9backed Jaguars61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x893d…4c26backed Jaguars61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Jaguars61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jaguars61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c9…4032backed Jaguars64c154.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Browns80c139.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.892871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd34…3c7abacked Browns40c137.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Browns39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.217448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf168…5725backed Browns39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fb1…36f3backed Browns39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.213450%17 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…0b3fbacked Browns40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc0…395ebacked Browns40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…2b96backed Jaguars59c117.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc964…8411backed Jaguars64c117.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea2…afafbacked Jaguars61c116.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…0c6ebacked Jaguars61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698d…5dd5backed Browns40c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Jaguars46c109.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.812240.2%49 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Jaguars60c102.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.353366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1173…ba78backed Browns40c100.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab2…6435backed Jaguars61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611942.1%8 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-33.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Jaguars37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce0d…8eb5backed Jaguars59c99.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.991540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fc…3db0backed Browns40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Jaguars60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe5…f089backed Jaguars36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa78f…3173backed Jaguars59c80.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc781…07a3backed Jaguars64c78.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2f…f304backed Browns40c75.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.531573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Jaguars61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98aa…5300backed Jaguars61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Browns40c65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911945.4%54 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Jaguars61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.66428.1%18 W · 46 L-12.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x49de…4dc5backed Jaguars50c57.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.933253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x535f…5ce5backed Jaguars31c57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Jaguars33c54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8231439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Browns39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70e…1eeabacked Browns40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7173…7d75backed Jaguars62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e39…9ca2backed Jaguars60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Browns41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ff…c62cbacked Jaguars44c45.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0328…d834backed Browns40c44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.49747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81de…2dccbacked Jaguars60c42.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda67…b950backed Jaguars52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.67640.8%31 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Browns70c38.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.552250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Browns40c34.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9928436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Jaguars61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.