TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24ac…6df6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
347
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST19261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$196.43
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$134.62
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$134.62
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$104.24
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$110.41
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$148.53
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29.03
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98.59
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+138.1%+$134.88
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$98.11
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+203%+$76.62
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$66.67
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.3
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$26.07
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$90
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.52
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$201.46
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.08
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.34
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.61
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.46
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$136.92
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.53
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.23
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.18
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.73
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.17
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$100.73
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.54
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.74
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+107.7%+$215.31
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Bruins vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$48.87
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$219.5
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+64.2%+$64.2
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+1,046.7%+$523.33
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$97.56
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.07
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.98
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$53.87
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$83.63
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.17
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Michigan vs. Oklahomabacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+108.2%+$82.23
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$200
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+201.2%+$80.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.