NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e564172299cab0c630ed336fef817d54ba4c4a90890c0e0c4a4cfa232074f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Canadiens, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd32d…bd1bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 35,110$12,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,639.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…7edbbacked Capitals | 64c | 33,730$21,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,142.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…c055backed Capitals | 64c | 30,230$19,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,882.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…8b9ebacked Canadiens | 36c | 28,850$10,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,386 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 36c | 22,572$8,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,024.68 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Capitals | 65c | 22,264$14,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,887.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Capitals | 65c | 21,100$13,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,418 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 68c | 21,098$14,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.75 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 18,277$6,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,579.87 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Canadiens | 36c | 13,150$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.41 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Capitals | 64c | 11,100$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 35c | 10,100$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.99 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…88febacked Capitals | 63c | 10,001$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…940abacked Canadiens | 37c | 9,996$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 8,584$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Capitals | 65c | 8,527$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Canadiens | 35c | 8,430$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.1 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Canadiens | 29c | 7,201$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Capitals | 76c | 5,096$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.31 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Capitals | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Capitals | 62c | 4,825$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Canadiens | 36c | 4,535$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.22 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Capitals | 64c | 4,200$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 35c | 3,930$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.44 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Canadiens | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Canadiens | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Canadiens | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Capitals | 70c | 2,696$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.7 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Capitals | 54c | 2,599$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.54 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,478$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 2,288$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Canadiens | 36c | 2,214$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.99 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed Canadiens | 31c | 1,946$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,944$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 35c | 1,860$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.89 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 21c | 1,790$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.58 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Capitals | 63c | 1,668$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,666$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 79c | 1,593$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.63 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Capitals | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c3…cd63backed Capitals | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.98 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals | 64c | 1,428$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.09 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,389$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Capitals | 64c | 1,389$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Capitals | 67c | 1,378$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 75c | 1,265$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.92 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Capitals | 64c | 1,207$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.52 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 65c | 1,156$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.32 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Canadiens | 14c | 1,111$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,089$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,022$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.63 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,002$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Canadiens | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Capitals | 64c | 999.93$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…bae9backed Canadiens | 45c | 984.65$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…bfc1backed Canadiens | 10c | 967.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Capitals | 64c | 959.97$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 25c | 893.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Canadiens | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 63c | 799.92$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Canadiens | 36c | 757.82$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…baa5backed Canadiens | 36c | 736.3$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 20c | 720.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Capitals | 57c | 634.07$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Canadiens | 3c | 600.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Capitals | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Capitals | 62c | 599.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Capitals | 63c | 595.32$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.27 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Capitals | 64c | 553.13$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Capitals | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Capitals | 65c | 517.55$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Capitals | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Canadiens | 11c | 459.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Capitals | 63c | 412.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Canadiens | 35c | 406.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Capitals | 63c | 399.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Canadiens | 37c | 380.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.94 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…d599backed Capitals | 64c | 373.41$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 67c | 363.49$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…a546backed Canadiens | 38c | 357.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canadiens | 26c | 353$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 63c | 349.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d4…d47abacked Capitals | 65c | 311.28$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Capitals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…8cf2backed Capitals | 64c | 303.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Canadiens | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Canadiens | 48c | 295.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d29…6f0cbacked Canadiens | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.