NHL · resolved market

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f816d82200f0198e72df1175e21d9f757e274307a5f93d075e3c14c7f9a4377

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $924,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $497,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,502 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7327…151abacked Yes	4c	70,560$3,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,130.27	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	9c	62,226$5,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,517.76	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	10c	47,085$4,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,908.33	154	31.8%49 W · 105 L	-12.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	2c	43,361$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.05	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Yes	8c	31,294$2,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,461.8	244	57.4%140 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a5…62d5backed Yes	5c	31,000$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	9c	28,234$2,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,557.23	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yes	9c	25,495$2,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,341.52	279	58.8%164 W · 115 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes	7c	25,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…9cb3backed Yes	19c	18,000$3,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,418.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…8a64backed Yes	9c	16,806$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Yes	15c	15,844$2,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,301.25	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df9…070fbacked Yes	7c	14,259$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Yes	6c	12,900$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.98	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes	7c	11,227$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.58	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Yes	4c	10,000$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.04	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Yes	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.8wins	-0.22per pick	49cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	12c	9,295$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.62	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f4…5228backed Yes	5c	8,200$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	7,953$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.59	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-91.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	5c	7,808$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.85	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	8c	7,700$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	4c	7,099$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.3	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes	6c	7,005$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.78	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	8c	6,876$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.76	265	47.5%126 W · 139 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	10c	6,831$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.86	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes	7c	5,613$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.8	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1c…3b8ebacked Yes	8c	5,388$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc8…c588backed Yes	8c	4,063$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes	8c	3,851$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.43	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Yes	8c	3,768$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.15	117	47%55 W · 62 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x638e…9bd1backed Yes	7c	2,667$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes	6c	2,653$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.19	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6eb…51e9backed Yes	8c	2,569$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.41	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-49%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	181	36.5%66 W · 115 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Yes	8c	2,498$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8992…2dcfbacked Yes	2c	2,495$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce6…a74fbacked Yes	7c	2,320$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes	17c	2,304$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…5d43backed Yes	3c	2,274$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	28cpaid	+63.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8de…32a1backed Yes	10c	2,162$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes	9c	2,100$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.42	384	45.8%176 W · 208 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	2,002$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.28	913	34.1%311 W · 602 L	-27.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.86	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6272…3f00backed Yes	11c	2,000$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	10c	1,926$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.37	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9646backed Yes	6c	1,917$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77c…cb14backed Yes	9c	1,895$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.95	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a02…b099backed Yes	6c	1,834$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.02	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Yes	18c	1,786$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.59	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes	8c	1,745$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	600	42.8%257 W · 343 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Yes	12c	1,731$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	2c	1,601$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.02	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	10c	1,600$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.86	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7238…cbc1backed Yes	3c	1,532$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.33	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-71%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a95…2d06backed Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Yes	7c	1,459$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91a…088fbacked Yes	10c	1,444$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.4	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f48…aa49backed Yes	9c	1,429$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.55	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…df18backed Yes	7c	1,416$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.59	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x175c…de1cbacked Yes	11c	1,364$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	8c	1,350$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	124	38.7%48 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	8c	1,349$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.36	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	1,341$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.04	607	41%249 W · 358 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9df…d873backed Yes	7c	1,309$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,288$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	225	16.4%37 W · 188 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…c24bbacked Yes	17c	1,270$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes	8c	1,242$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.83	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Yes	15c	1,165$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.86	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e84…4b92backed Yes	10c	1,074$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.29	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes	2c	1,053$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes	6c	1,039$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e94…7745backed Yes	9c	1,020$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ef…8793backed Yes	13c	1,010$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes	10c	1,003$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…b048backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x527c…abc2backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes	6c	999.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b0…f1d0backed Yes	4c	973.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe850…7e35backed Yes	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5934…6e5abacked Yes	11c	906.91$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8f…76b3backed Yes	7c	901.86$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes	7c	880.86$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.66	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-89.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes	3c	877.37$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	5c	834.85$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbbb…4433backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa3…181bbacked Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x767e…9e69backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7285…c116backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb427…047ebacked Yes	6c	830.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes	3c	800$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	11c	785.36$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.46	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+14%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x19a6…e29bbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f5…dab4backed Yes	8c	736.38$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd620…db7bbacked Yes	3c	729$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event