TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,181,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,044,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,181,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Yes5c103,307$5,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,093.6836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…b7aabacked Yes4c52,000$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bf…baa1backed Yes4c52,000$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf0c…1146backed Yes4c47,890$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes3c38,832$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.017532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes2c37,515$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.87313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes5c18,794$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes5c16,197$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.7711441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c39…54debacked Yes4c12,067$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes3c11,934$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5526547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c10,845$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.526613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes3c6,911$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes5c6,501$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.991811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6eb…51e9backed Yes4c5,676$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.161225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Yes5c5,000$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes2c4,756$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…df18backed Yes4c4,395$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-86.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes4c4,299$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2565345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes2c4,161$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.87100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c3,721$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.383225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes4c3,347$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.115820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes3c3,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.75911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes3c3,300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.370%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes2c3,220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.74160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c5c…c842backed Yes4c3,167$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes5c3,081$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.81020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc8…c588backed Yes5c3,053$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Yes4c3,004$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5611747%55 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…7ebbbacked Yes4c3,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes3c3,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes4c2,878$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4612438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yes5c2,865$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14821750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f0…4ac8backed Yes3c2,681$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c65…8291backed Yes3c2,502$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9260%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes4c2,500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9838445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Yes3c2,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.781010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480f…0905backed Yes3c2,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes4c2,114$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.75185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8272…541dbacked Yes3c2,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.94128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-79.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes3c2,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…d3f8backed Yes3c1,900$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf6…2817backed Yes3c1,900$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9664…de7bbacked Yes3c1,900$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…2fc0backed Yes3c1,900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c1,687$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Yes3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6292…1353backed Yes3c1,541$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes4c1,510$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes5c1,500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.49128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-89.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff0…8d62backed Yes4c1,377$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b81…de0ebacked Yes7c1,366$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c42…8bf8backed Yes4c1,284$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes4c1,282$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013837.7%52 W · 86 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes2c1,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0e…91c6backed Yes3c1,199$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…ab53backed Yes3c1,119$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes4c1,056$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4360042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd86…bd0cbacked Yes4c1,026$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebf…96d9backed Yes4c1,026$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes3c1,012$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d63…efafbacked Yes4c1,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c10…ea95backed Yes3c1,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd847…74a9backed Yes4c1,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b4…a660backed Yes4c1,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a95…2d06backed Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ad…6f3dbacked Yes4c1,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes2c999.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f6…4d6ebacked Yes3c999.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes3c969.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x665f…9a23backed Yes4c952.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc01d…08a4backed Yes3c900$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…8facbacked Yes4c871.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf41…fbd3backed Yes3c857.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f6…0563backed Yes3c857$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c4…c441backed Yes6c828.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df6…e959backed Yes4c792.79$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…2724backed Yes4c792.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14c…7647backed Yes3c784.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes3c781.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b53…76d4backed Yes4c769.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…440abacked Yes4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes6c741.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.45180%0 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e5…9cbfbacked Yes4c695.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8500…3d6fbacked Yes4c695.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c690.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.66234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-91.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa15c…66a4backed Yes4c639.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0764…624bbacked Yes4c603.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5f…9761backed Yes4c601.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes2c571.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c567.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6722516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f5…2bfbbacked Yes2c534.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2970%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7206…7223backed Yes4c514.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes3c513.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.133040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec88…b148backed Yes3c502$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x534d…84fbbacked Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes7c500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Yes4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b34…2439backed Yes3c499.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes3c484.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977b…4767backed Yes4c473.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.