TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd88f…8d2c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT13837.7%52 W · 86 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.77
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Bruins backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Senators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$22.5
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Cardinals vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Saints vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Bengals vs. Vikingsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$59.58
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+75.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$146.14
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Jon Rahm win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+931.7%+$279.52
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+249.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.