TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No76c18,920$14,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.6777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c15,418$3,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,971.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes12c15,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+82.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes27c4,686$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c3,183$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.2421545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No75c2,046$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.0510533.3%35 W · 70 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes16c1,988$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0819347.2%91 W · 102 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes25c1,968$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No75c1,308$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…5b42backed No79c1,253$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c1,111$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2126345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba3…45d6backed Yes14c1,107$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c1,080$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.423542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Yes29c1,040$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes30c1,004$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c944$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e24…7f38backed Yes14c814.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes26c770.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes13c691.52$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4423548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61b9…5937backed Yes23c649.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes22c530.78$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.774829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c504.34$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8815051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452030%6 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked No74c402.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes26c379.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c369.54$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.154748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b9…27d0backed No76c342.11$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes30c336.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9815…d785backed Yes24c328.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedff…c4adbacked Yes13c298.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Yes26c295.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes26c284$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…959abacked Yes26c268.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…5eaabacked Yes25c257.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes28c221.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes25c211.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.783650%18 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes25c203.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes25c202$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3394…a97bbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0251…5656backed Yes25c171.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No73c167.92$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff4…a33cbacked Yes28c167$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…8be9backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc905…f75ebacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f72…089dbacked Yes28c164.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…781bbacked Yes9c162.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e0…61dbbacked Yes26c153.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f9…d83abacked Yes18c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eec…a523backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dbf…4dddbacked Yes26c146.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes27c144.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.951758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes22c140$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Yes25c139$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes24c130.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2810757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19de…03a6backed No74c127.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No78c126.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf138…204bbacked Yes27c115$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc195…ed64backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3838…2c6fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c93.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5515341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8039…6b4bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No78c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…4804backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b53…a717backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7e…efb2backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd3…a0f4backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…dd8abacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dff…3b70backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca60…5f6cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cf…83babacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…f9fbbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbed…13a9backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3536…28c1backed Yes27c73.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes29c72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.882152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked No76c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf300…ca70backed Yes25c64.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf151…7011backed Yes24c61.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…4180backed Yes25c60.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked No74c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No76c45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked Yes24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef8…fae5backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No77c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b2…bbdbbacked No79c34.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d5…ffbfbacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No75c21.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe03a…7eaebacked No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No76c18.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.46757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No79c14.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.