TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8db2…d0f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
900
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT72125.5%184 W · 537 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 721 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$65.2
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+279.1%+$58.9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$38.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+434.1%+$153.32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$26.73
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Showing 25 of 721 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST4440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.04
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.04
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$22
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+689.5%+$131
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+597.4%+$428.3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Nico Williams: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$41.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$31.45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$397.04
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$80.46
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14.82
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$23.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.28
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.56
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid+20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+987%+$181.58
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.45
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.73
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.57
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$82.11
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$131.81
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$84.48
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$129.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+253.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+73.6%+$84.8
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.84
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$68.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Los Cabos Open: Bernard Tomic vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+259.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+259.7%+$36.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+59.4%+$14.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Flora vs. The New Saints FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.