TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$536,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$588,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,676 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0aa3…64e9backed No74c40,004$29,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,408.162250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes26c30,140$7,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,270.3912848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c28,074$7,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,637.5838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c25,346$18,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,987.1346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No73c17,354$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,750.2917853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No74c15,013$11,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,064.086451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes26c15,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No73c14,947$10,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,911.67346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes27c14,893$4,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,872.213748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No73c14,151$10,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,368.748241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Yes51c13,639$6,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,690.231942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes26c13,046$3,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,623.614540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c11,823$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,655.729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c10,593$7,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,646.231,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes26c10,450$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,733.068259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3002045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No50c9,099$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,535.061553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick30cpaid+136.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No67c8,684$5,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.047146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c8,439$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.391,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c8,172$6,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,018.9861447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed No73c8,100$5,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,912.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No74c8,000$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,889.9518160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes77c7,276$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.0620948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c6,756$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.4413151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c6,465$4,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847.4858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c5,660$4,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.3533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No38c5,479$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.5338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes26c5,227$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.682615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.766221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c4,979$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.793619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes37c4,586$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.652050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes26c4,231$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No58c4,201$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,445.1337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes29c4,085$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No46c4,014$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.595145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fbb…06c5backed Yes27c3,846$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.58450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+171.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ac…d539backed Yes68c3,622$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.791735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95bb…ec41backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No72c3,255$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.84254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c2,914$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.4243333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes27c2,767$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed No74c2,389$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.19955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes27c2,173$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes26c2,115$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes27c2,086$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+62.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No70c2,057$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.0634342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c2,050$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47640222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No73c2,002$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.2910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.52347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes16c2,000$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.2512737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No75c2,000$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.434860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4603339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.856028.3%17 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes27c1,843$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.0915250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No74c1,689$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2507542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes27c1,659$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes76c1,611$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.8535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes73c1,516$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.733452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes28c1,500$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.0wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes27c1,483$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.154645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No73c1,476$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.1439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.592365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes35c1,431$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a0…2c5abacked Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes62c1,317$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.924346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5344…c194backed Yes26c1,308$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c1,296$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.37429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd36…3f97backed Yes31c1,294$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf498…3bcbbacked Yes71c1,272$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No73c1,257$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.0210660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Yes26c1,200$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No74c1,181$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.052948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes25c1,167$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.7224047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2037backed Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.11540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+170.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes60c1,094$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.655628.6%16 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No72c1,074$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.999547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7304542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06bf…656ebacked Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73019755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No50c999.99$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xced0…e569backed No74c999.98$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No73c999.98$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.981540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No73c999.96$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed No26c955.04$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes27c925.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.935349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes26c922.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.682722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae3…1839backed Yes27c889.63$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.434100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+127.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked No74c875.14$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.6520%1 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick75cpaid-72.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes33c861.23$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.814827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes27c834.58$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No72c802.18$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes28c800$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5768151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c30…7673backed Yes74c800$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.45875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+116%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes26c754.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.992147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes26c754.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.993333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No74c745$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.310850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.