TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb295…4ee4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT7448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$549.48
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,449.96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,838.58
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,140.88
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,799.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,059.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,777Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+73%+$4,219.6
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$8,882.87
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,706.35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$180
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$549.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$851.26
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$134.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,011.62
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,585Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+227.3%+$8,146.6
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,560.84
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,693.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,239.99
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$868.8
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$7,300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$6,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,007.81
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$1,110
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,140
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,960
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,021Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+270.4%+$10,872.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$1,259.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$474.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$404.43
Will Juventus vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$360
Will Raphinha be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+56.5%+$3,799.17
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+71.5%+$277.72
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top Champions League scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$615.91
Will Serhou Guirassy be the top Champions League scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,528.83
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$192
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Will Arsenal vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+124.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$4,600
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,240
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+2,172.7%+$7,774.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$1,415
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,200
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$854Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$5,245.08
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.91
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.88
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 3 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.96
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.98
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,452.09
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.45
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,678.99
England vs. Croatia: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.34
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.69
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 0 New Zealand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,040
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$540
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$143.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$222.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$1,053.86
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$144.16
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs WW Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.07
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$157.33
Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.82
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: G2 vs Liquidbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+43.5%+$110.84
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,248.48
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.28
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$37.4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$1,429.09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.96
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,971.37
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$450.61
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,440
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38%+$38.52
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+51.3%+$345.37
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$80
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+93.6%+$7,622.89
Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+37%+$27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.17
Sao Leopoldo: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$315.81
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+201.6%+$81.2
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$81.36
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Justin Boulaisbacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$92.4
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$60.32
Antalya: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$39.06
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$122.72
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.06
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+809.1%+$7,665.33
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,966.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+34.5%+$87.22
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.7%+$34.04
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+39.3%+$35.31
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+109.1%+$1,488.3
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,919Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+32.2%+$618.51
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,260
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$199.34
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$453.63
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$14.76
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,819.82
Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$24.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.94
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$860
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$570
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$126.54
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$311.55
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+316.7%+$367.08
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+146.3%+$148.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$979.98
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.96
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+150%+$120
Bolanos vs. Lebacked Bolanos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.6
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$700
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$403.7
Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.backed Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$44
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$259.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$136.93
Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+139.8%+$114.27
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.96
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$805.1
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,724Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+114.7%+$1,977.9
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+92.3%+$850.2
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+59.2%+$186
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$24.11
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$29.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$621.71
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,319.97
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+120.8%+$782.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$281.65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$498.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-50.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+135.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NK Bravo win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+116.9%+$418.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,700
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$222
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$288.04
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$190.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Karlsruher SC vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+203%+$125.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eyüpspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$228.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+139%+$1,811.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$145.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 25-29 times October 4-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$12.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$1,048.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.