World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee78796c2501ccee253b7b3fc9ebda254acb4c82c424db2dd24fc6b16885417d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,424,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,509,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,424,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 770 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45bc…978bbacked Yes | 0c | 111,029$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 78c | 88,637$68,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,814.11 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes | 2c | 58,070$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…2a53backed Yes | 0c | 50,500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 1c | 42,245$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 51c | 39,318$20,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,218.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 0c | 35,713$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…cd0bbacked Yes | 49c | 33,113$16,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,103.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 74c | 33,067$24,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,744.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 75c | 31,000$23,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,377.75 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 59c | 26,932$15,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,994.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…0cadbacked No | 49c | 23,656$11,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,098.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…72b2backed No | 51c | 21,783$11,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,693.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 1c | 20,620$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 0c | 19,740$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 16c | 19,096$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,106.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…fef1backed Yes | 41c | 16,830$6,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…a90cbacked Yes | 8c | 16,535$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…7c0bbacked No | 43c | 16,512$7,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,492.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…6055backed Yes | 0c | 15,727$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,189.9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 53c | 14,440$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.99 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 70c | 14,281$10,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,045.1 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 64c | 13,277$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,529.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 72c | 12,940$9,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked Yes | 0c | 12,089$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed Yes | 53c | 11,704$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…dc40backed No | 37c | 11,262$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 11,127$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 33c | 11,077$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,462.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…ac4ebacked No | 14c | 10,744$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,269.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +628.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,644$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 3c | 10,389$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.73 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 59c | 10,263$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.42 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…5d54backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 55c | 9,876$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked No | 31c | 9,645$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,646.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 9,606$7,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,213.27 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed No | 15c | 9,370$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,921.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…37c3backed No | 37c | 9,217$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 31c | 9,007$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.39 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 55c | 8,688$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.86 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 24c | 7,859$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.18 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 30c | 7,621$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,363.74 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 50c | 7,444$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 76c | 7,237$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.77 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 64c | 6,945$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 80c | 6,835$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,466.56 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed No | 13c | 6,829$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +271.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked Yes | 55c | 6,696$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed No | 16c | 6,435$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +530.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 26c | 6,410$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.92 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,354$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked No | 27c | 6,286$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,582.52 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed No | 48c | 6,251$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda73…4d41backed Yes | 75c | 6,075$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 75cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 79c | 6,000$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…829abacked No | 25c | 5,961$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…cadabacked No | 37c | 5,851$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,832$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…24cfbacked Yes | 10c | 5,635$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…0e1cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked Yes | 1c | 5,602$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 20c | 5,529$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.39 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed No | 20c | 5,512$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 65c | 5,408$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.2 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…f997backed Yes | 44c | 5,393$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 50c | 5,367$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.56 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed No | 24c | 5,304$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 25c | 5,251$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 27c | 5,202$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.23 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed No | 18c | 5,129$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +460.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9946…3e39backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…6987backed Yes | 70c | 4,838$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…5439backed No | 24c | 4,828$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +310.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 35c | 4,815$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.95 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b2…1bffbacked No | 68c | 4,745$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 78c | 4,699$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.23 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed No | 52c | 4,600$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 63c | 4,526$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 47c | 4,517$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.4 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…5feebacked Yes | 68c | 4,465$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…3239backed Yes | 76c | 4,380$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…deb5backed No | 41c | 4,321$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 1c | 4,300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed Yes | 73c | 4,009$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,922.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 21c | 4,000$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.54 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 48c | 3,920$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed No | 44c | 3,872$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…ec4fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,817$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 44c | 3,645$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.7 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 25c | 3,604$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 29cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed No | 9c | 3,586$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +960.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?this page
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.