TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55c5…1710

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tweets, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$894.59
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,766.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,379Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+59%+$3,175.27
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,196.62
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,684.14
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.61
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.89
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.12
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,947.62
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$527.51
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,924Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,775.87
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,357Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$3,257.67
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.81
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,966.49
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.1%+$4,914.37
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.28
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.07
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$407
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$420
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Level UP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs paiN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,286
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.