Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5a0c2d5b6bf0a7b9899aaf4c6237b08e1dbf8d17430fac4de8468a6e2df2e0e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,059,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $16,237,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,059,652 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09b4…7320backed No	63c	4,753,697$2,994,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758,868.01	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x640d…9a4cbacked No	64c	2,350,932$1,504,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846,335.52	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	36c	954,047$344,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344,701.06	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	63c	664,874$417,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247,663.05	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes	37c	600,000$222,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222,000	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	29c	574,395$164,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164,410.6	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes	38c	494,813$189,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189,567.55	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	34c	389,468$133,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133,762.63	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	25c	360,000$89,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,599.99	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Yes	37c	300,000$111,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,000	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes	38c	216,115$82,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82,123.7	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	35c	210,613$73,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,571.08	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Yes	37c	205,000$75,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,850	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed Yes	37c	201,910$74,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74,564.13	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No	64c	200,000$128,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,000	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes	1c	185,416$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	253	36.8%93 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb451…d7b3backed Yes	36c	180,925$65,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,133.09	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Yes	38c	175,001$66,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,200.23	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes	37c	166,984$61,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,783.91	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	29c	158,802$46,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes	37c	135,135$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes	33c	134,532$43,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,981.98	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	2c	121,440$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,964.78	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No	64c	120,500$77,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,380	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c01…f7a7backed Yes	1c	116,252$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.84	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	38c	114,777$44,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,056.7	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes	36c	109,799$39,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,527.61	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	61c	104,738$64,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,575.31	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	36c	99,996$35,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,998.56	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed Yes	37c	98,585$36,814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,813.95	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	21c	98,192$20,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,261.98	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	26c	96,737$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	62c	93,201$58,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,080.07	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…9d59backed No	76c	89,999$68,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,899.73	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	35c	89,354$31,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,274.02	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes	36c	88,444$31,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,955.05	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c3…c5f8backed Yes	38c	85,000$32,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,549.96	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No	60c	83,226$49,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,290.44	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed Yes	36c	80,244$28,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,888	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	32c	78,564$25,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,024.01	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	38c	75,562$28,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,428.28	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes	3c	67,525$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	122	10.7%13 W · 109 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	61c	67,000$40,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,130	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes	37c	66,926$24,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,762.5	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes	37c	66,867$24,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,740.81	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes	14c	65,368$8,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,833.83	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes	1c	63,979$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.72	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd4…4304backed Yes	24c	61,042$14,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,450.68	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No	64c	56,505$35,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,611.56	244	41.8%102 W · 142 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	11c	55,104$5,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,954.96	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc6…9889backed Yes	38c	55,000$20,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,950	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…6a37backed Yes	4c	54,191$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Yes	37c	54,054$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,999.98	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e5…d3febacked Yes	28c	51,392$14,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,387.74	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Yes	36c	50,000$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,000	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes	37c	50,000$18,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,500	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Yes	21c	47,978$9,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,937.21	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked No	64c	46,602$29,975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,626.57	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	63c	46,013$28,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,024.8	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes	36c	45,000$16,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,200	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	79c	42,738$33,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,895.16	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	13c	41,830$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes	36c	40,010$14,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,403.6	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes	37c	40,000$14,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,800	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No	60c	40,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,999.97	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	63c	40,000$25,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,799.9	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes	37c	39,000$14,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,430	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed No	61c	38,998$23,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,209.21	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes	39c	38,462$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Yes	36c	38,400$13,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,824	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes	8c	36,983$3,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,016.22	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	37c	36,289$13,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,483.35	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	61c	35,998$21,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,039.37	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1569…bf0cbacked Yes	40c	35,440$14,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,176	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	+101.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes	37c	35,135$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	1c	34,686$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.8	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes	36c	34,000$12,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,379.97	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec5…1862backed Yes	35c	31,349$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No	79c	31,035$24,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,387.63	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2877…4361backed Yes	36c	30,556$11,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Yes	38c	30,000$11,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,250	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Yes	18c	28,925$5,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,133.12	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes	28c	28,716$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed Yes	37c	27,000$9,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,990	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7598…a610backed Yes	37c	26,741$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	36c	26,411$9,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,508.88	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	37c	26,360$9,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,753.09	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Yes	36c	25,540$9,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,194.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes	39c	25,200$9,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,828.13	69	13%9 W · 60 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaa…c521backed Yes	39c	25,192$9,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,824.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8474…2511backed Yes	1c	25,000$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	30cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes	12c	25,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes	37c	24,919$9,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,220	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes	2c	24,819$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes	36c	24,244$8,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,650.58	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…df5fbacked Yes	0c	23,970$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes	37c	23,361$8,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,548.4	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Yes	37c	23,351$8,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,640	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507c…85efbacked Yes	37c	22,585$8,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,356.4	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	3c	22,272$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.26	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?this page
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes won
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event