Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02103f049a5fe127c4ea03c9531772e82f3b9f5e9f5f30d67fda5b472fb56c17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,380,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,385,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,380,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 43c | 660,623$286,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374,267.45 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed No | 65c | 599,998$389,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389,998.59 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 65c | 579,854$375,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375,361.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 472,605$204,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,512.61 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 37c | 471,232$172,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298,261.78 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 53c | 323,331$170,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,065.17 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 252,192$150,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,897.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed No | 66c | 211,505$139,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,593.3 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 35c | 196,198$69,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,096.92 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 35c | 191,625$66,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,989.91 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 65c | 191,391$124,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,323.84 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 66c | 190,195$125,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,528.68 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…8a06backed Yes | 35c | 175,000$61,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,750 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 48c | 168,769$81,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,285.49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 145,721$94,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,561.45 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked No | 27c | 131,254$35,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,657.92 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 62c | 129,614$80,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,348.6 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 44c | 119,801$52,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,479.09 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 77c | 111,540$86,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,297.6 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 63c | 109,058$68,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,706.57 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…59bfbacked Yes | 35c | 98,231$34,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,850.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…fe3dbacked Yes | 35c | 90,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,500 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 86,424$56,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,979.86 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 32c | 81,481$26,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,455.95 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 9c | 79,800$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128.13 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 77,597$46,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,232.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 66c | 75,000$49,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,500 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 44c | 73,854$32,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,651.63 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 43c | 64,334$27,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,911.72 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed No | 21c | 61,813$12,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,678.45 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 66c | 61,689$40,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,406.17 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…8cc2backed Yes | 65c | 61,345$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,345.39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 61,249$29,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,905.59 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 64c | 60,037$38,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,423.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 34c | 57,983$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,983.19 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked No | 35c | 57,511$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 49c | 57,020$27,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,289.91 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed No | 65c | 53,999$35,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,339.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 52,044$20,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,614.72 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 11c | 51,707$5,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…65e0backed Yes | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,500 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Yes | 66c | 46,970$31,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,803.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 34c | 45,622$15,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,071.82 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 65c | 40,052$26,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,933.15 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 65c | 39,999$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.5 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 34c | 39,000$13,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,740 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 64c | 38,836$24,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,118.14 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 35c | 38,739$13,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,044.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 18c | 35,080$6,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.18 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 39c | 35,000$13,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,299.86 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 25c | 34,951$8,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850.94 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 10c | 34,407$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.37 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 34,170$13,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,047.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 60c | 32,000$19,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,230 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 35c | 31,425$10,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,425.81 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.88 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 38c | 29,880$11,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,232 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,571.43 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 24,999$16,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,249.21 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 36c | 24,966$8,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,010.14 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…3805backed Yes | 34c | 24,462$8,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,144.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 59c | 24,306$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,006.34 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…26b6backed No | 66c | 23,999$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,719.37 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 56c | 22,334$12,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,429.48 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 21,277$13,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,899.03 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 42c | 20,300$8,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,526 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 46c | 19,443$8,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,961 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 65c | 18,841$12,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,594.43 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 18,377$9,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,110.9 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked No | 32c | 18,024$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.21 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes | 60c | 17,500$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 3c | 17,448$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.45 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…8617backed Yes | 61c | 16,774$10,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.85 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 30c | 16,687$4,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.71 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked No | 9c | 16,667$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 49c | 16,143$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875.47 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 55c | 15,586$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,981.38 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Yes | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 66c | 15,000$9,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,829.83 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed No | 41c | 14,978$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,215.42 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 14,928$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.96 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 66c | 14,500$9,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,504.94 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 6c | 14,477$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.27 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a9…4a31backed Yes | 60c | 14,266$8,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.57 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 35c | 14,186$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.2 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 13,899$9,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,107.33 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 66c | 13,785$9,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,047.16 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 66c | 12,931$8,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560.87 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 44c | 12,880$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.72 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 12,672$8,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.52 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 65c | 12,270$8,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,035.37 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…a486backed No | 66c | 12,103$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.01 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 72c | 12,072$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.4 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 65c | 12,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.9 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…7565backed Yes | 35c | 11,792$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 39c | 11,785$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.61 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 63c | 11,608$7,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,312.99 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 66c | 11,500$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,554.93 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?this page
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?No won
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.