Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982941d6030e30ed0f56043622c52d71db557f6ef2774a11a06945248e7076ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,360,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,193,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,360,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,618 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 29c | 419,997$121,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121,099.27 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 380,955$297,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,240.82 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed No | 72c | 310,149$223,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,795.81 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Yes | 28c | 237,777$67,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,177.56 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 7c | 193,088$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 71c | 185,887$132,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,500.18 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 170,744$136,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,183.38 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 138,093$31,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,181.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…d821backed No | 71c | 91,680$65,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,587.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 72c | 60,000$42,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,099.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 29c | 51,090$14,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,816 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 29c | 48,866$14,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,171.12 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 5c | 48,187$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.36 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Yes | 30c | 45,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 28c | 44,407$12,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,433.87 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes | 16c | 43,178$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,773.13 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 77c | 41,773$32,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,626.75 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 71c | 40,670$28,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,794.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 29c | 40,416$11,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,695.83 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 29c | 40,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 70c | 39,998$27,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.37 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 39,693$30,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,658.18 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes | 29c | 34,483$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 79c | 34,082$27,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,037.16 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 31,744$22,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,252.92 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.95 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 28,400$7,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,730.81 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 24c | 27,650$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…d8a3backed No | 72c | 27,017$19,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,564.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed No | 72c | 26,250$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 24,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 26c | 23,765$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.26 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 23,704$16,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,873.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 29c | 22,752$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.72 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 22,569$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,313.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed No | 71c | 22,158$15,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,425.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 21,360$15,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.31 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.96 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.93 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 70c | 19,998$13,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.5 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 72c | 19,816$14,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked Yes | 22c | 18,717$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 4c | 18,423$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 17,407$12,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,034.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked No | 73c | 15,333$11,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.96 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 14,899$11,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 28c | 14,286$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…3d67backed Yes | 28c | 14,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…5ad3backed Yes | 28c | 13,925$3,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,892 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 13,881$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.51 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 29c | 12,939$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 12,565$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.47 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 24c | 12,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 71c | 12,000$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 73c | 11,995$8,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.2 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…ce70backed Yes | 25c | 11,693$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 76c | 11,272$8,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.58 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…4a14backed No | 70c | 11,250$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 28c | 10,987$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.44 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Yes | 14c | 10,622$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.12 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 72c | 10,471$7,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.96 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 70c | 10,174$7,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.19 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 10,018$7,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.54 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…fc59backed Yes | 24c | 10,002$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.85 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 71c | 9,000$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 69c | 8,917$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 71c | 8,500$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed No | 72c | 8,000$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked No | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 71c | 7,892$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.68 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 7,394$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.86 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…cae6backed Yes | 28c | 7,390$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Yes | 4c | 7,319$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 8c | 7,217$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.38 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 0c | 7,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Yes | 28c | 7,140$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 32c | 6,905$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.61 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Yes | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 6,820$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.81 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 72c | 6,582$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.07 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,560$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 75c | 6,560$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.75 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 28c | 6,205$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f51…2647backed Yes | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked No | 73c | 5,948$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed No | 71c | 5,600$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 22c | 5,580$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.51 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 20c | 5,569$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.45 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 71c | 5,567$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.5 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 27c | 5,491$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.43 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes won
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.