TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f1c…82c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,884.19
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31,960.7
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25,716Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$30,188.71
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57,683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43,494.56
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,779.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,024.93
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,112.15
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$2,159.97
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,829Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+155.1%+$7,490.33
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,760
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,922Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+53%+$2,077.48
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+312.4%+$378.75
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,104.96
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$318,341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$318,341.04
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$2,932.35
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$10,499.96
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12,300
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$2,350.17
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,242.25
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22,303Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$7,870.42
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,909.91
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$9,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,948.18
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$1,143.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$6,959.86
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT8950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,002.52
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.45
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,539.98
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,590
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,600
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,799.98
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23,399.98
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,952.62
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,417.41
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$17,819.79
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$727.08
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189.38
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,749.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,052
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10,200
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,730.1
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,799.98
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,868.68
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,560
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$254.49
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,259Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$2,541.79
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.97
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14,750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10,250
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55,199.97
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3,449.98
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$95
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,805Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,695
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.