MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd719e3dd083066c3a8032786e7e90dad29b8bba7ea5625faa3edd7c70754a656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $489,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets | 48c | 187,500$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.93 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 145,555$75,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,866.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 50c | 32,949$16,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,535.73 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 43c | 28,733$12,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,432.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 23c | 25,648$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Mets | 8c | 18,760$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 16,883$8,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,103.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 15,046$7,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,222.52 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 13,206$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 35c | 12,500$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 10,307$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.95 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 7,754$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 5,716$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 5,662$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.02 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,801$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.79 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 4,487$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 4,194$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 4,185$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.04 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Mets | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,813$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.11 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 37c | 3,646$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,507$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.59 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,407$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.37 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,993$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,732$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 2,729$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.94 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,645$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.69 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,559$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.2 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 2,135$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.41 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,095$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.94 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,888$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.24 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 38c | 1,577$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,365$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed New York Mets | 34c | 1,134$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.13 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,050$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.1 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,047$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.17 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed New York Mets | 48c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.93 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…6033backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 911.8$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.81 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 903$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Mets | 47c | 879.94$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 65c | 821.59$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.49 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 784.2$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 729.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed New York Mets | 59c | 716$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 711.31$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.43 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 701.72$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 663.6$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 616.87$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.16 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 591$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 550$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 549.3$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 521.32$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed New York Mets | 17c | 499.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 460$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 433.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 381.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.78 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed New York Mets | 54c | 379.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.94 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 348.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 312.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 309.43$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked New York Mets | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 36c | 305.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Mets | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked New York Mets | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked New York Mets | 40c | 296.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 293.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 291.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x262c…f803backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Mets | 46c | 267.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 262$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 261.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a2…d1f2backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 247.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3641…02f1backed New York Mets | 48c | 246.95$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 41c | 242.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed New York Mets | 63c | 241.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.07 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed New York Mets | 47c | 234.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 228.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 217.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.