TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75b1…e2e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT7853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.78
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.94
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$207.12
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$703
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$256.33
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$180
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,342.41
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.9
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$75.29
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$73.84
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twinsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$272.3
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$149.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.9
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$145.6
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$35.39
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$289.48
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$292.03
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$364.49
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.29
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$92.74
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$261.66
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$36.14
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.41
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$448.56
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Switzerland vs. Jordan: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.83
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Iceland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$84.46
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.79
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+701%+$101.31
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.15
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$448.59
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$297.84
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$336.26
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+152.3%+$882.77
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.71
Yoon in jail before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$653.94
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$872.38
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$176.26
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$134.58
Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.49
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$6,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+1,082.1%+$65,789.64
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$849.25
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+111%+$1,415.97
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+137.1%+$3,832.47
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Memphis Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$84.23
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked Cleveland Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+113%+$452.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.3%+$534.89
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$149.91
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.65
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.09
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$83.08
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$730.04
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+30%+$67.79
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$102.71
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$931.31
Will Brentford vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.36
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.57
Will Crystal Palace vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+251.8%+$130.46
Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.6
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$45.43
Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$135.31
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$637.95
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$288.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$151.88
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$700.28
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+124.6%+$761.62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+73%+$102.5
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$653.09
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$923.98
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.99
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,416.24
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$776.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$736.54
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$41.89
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$333.04
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$173.23
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+35.7%+$177.96
Patriots vs. Saintsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$88.87
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+50.9%+$6.55
Troy Trojans vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700.58
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$205.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$476.69
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$70.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$17.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$224.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$509.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$471.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.