Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f227d665d55544878ffdd4cea3d251a8ad9a583e8e3ff2c09a21e41d3df310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 23c | 16,628$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.1 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…396abacked No | 76c | 10,003$7,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,601.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…90b3backed Yes | 24c | 9,466$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,194.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 77c | 8,476$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.67 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 3,973$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.82 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 1,743$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.48 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…f88abacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…8872backed No | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 26c | 1,167$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 50c | 974.51$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 950$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 25c | 935.76$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.82 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 23c | 873.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.12 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 26c | 579.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked No | 37c | 514.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…5170backed Yes | 54c | 461.35$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 73c | 451$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 438$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 76c | 411.86$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 26c | 390.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 75c | 370$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 28c | 287.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 258$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…5579backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 22c | 208.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 12c | 189.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 25c | 168.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 25c | 163.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 26c | 157.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Yes | 25c | 131.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 25c | 119.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 23c | 118.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 26c | 97.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 88.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked No | 76c | 80.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…4fd5backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 27c | 62.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 29c | 61.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Yes | 29c | 53.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Yes | 68c | 41.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…ca52backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…ae74backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…e86fbacked No | 77c | 33.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…a70abacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…af53backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.