TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1cc9…2a64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT5651.8%29 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Giants (-1.5)backed Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+180.7%+$45.16
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+129.1%+$63.27
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+120%+$36
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+142.7%+$28.53
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Braves vs. Redsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+136.2%+$27.25
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$30
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+88.2%+$21.16
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$9.84
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Islanders vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.54
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+66.1%+$9.91
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+150%+$15
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+187.9%+$28.2
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.4
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.05
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.36
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Arkansas State vs. Troybacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.35
Troy vs. Clemsonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Georgia Southern vs. Fresno Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+296.8%+$56.39
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.5
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+140.2%+$47.64
Nebraska vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Iowa State vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Tottenham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$13.25
Will Wolves win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Bears backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
49ers vs. Raiders backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Dolphins vs. Lions backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Browns vs. Eagles backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Texans vs. Vikings backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Browns vs. Panthersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+174.6%+$43.65
Lions vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
Colts vs. Ravensbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.65
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Cannonier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
UFC 319: Andrade vs. Godinezbacked Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Klein vs. Pulyaevbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.45
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Santos vs. Tatebacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
Bolanos vs. Lebacked Bolanos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Schnell vs. Flickbacked Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+93%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+181.9%+$47.1
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.4
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+167.5%+$28.48
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+122.8%+$24.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+215.5%+$36.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar win on 2025-09-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.