Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7a186fafeaa24428e909030912d2776db08fd7cd5415b63b3cad7b129bf4f19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800f…3586backed Yes | 38c | 10,014$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 61c | 7,068$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.51 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 27c | 4,053$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.89 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked No | 71c | 3,275$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 36c | 2,734$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 65c | 2,667$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 64c | 2,461$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 24c | 1,818$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.25 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 51c | 1,468$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.64 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 35c | 1,464$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.29 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 1,149$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 1,108$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.05 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 32c | 1,070$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 41c | 707.66$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 620.76$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.87 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Yes | 32c | 593.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 40c | 512$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 12c | 419.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 38c | 403.46$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 73c | 400.54$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 14c | 351.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 37c | 299.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yes | 34c | 294.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 35c | 293.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 17c | 275$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 37c | 230.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 55c | 209.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 41c | 141.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 26c | 121.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 30c | 116.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed No | 74c | 108.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d21…b038backed Yes | 69c | 93.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 39c | 76.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…0155backed Yes | 38c | 56.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Yes | 32c | 53.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 61c | 50.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes | 31c | 47.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 36c | 45.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 33c | 45.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 48c | 42.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…183dbacked Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 56c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f6…f20abacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 71c | 29.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Yes | 41c | 25.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…95a7backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 63c | 17.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed No | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-08-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.