Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-08-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c2ed3b1215cb1b6190a61dad5426b01783bb4e415df066086747f07f9c48c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 36c | 3,664$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 63c | 1,854$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 64c | 863.89$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 763$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 72c | 657.89$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 25c | 648$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 32c | 431.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 311$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 148.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 13c | 117$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 31c | 71.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 66c | 62.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 71c | 21.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…a72abacked No | 68c | 17.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-08-29?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.