Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9589f67931ba30ec6c69f774ff0999d7e0a4d5cbb171bf0fcc88fe7148cc28a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 27,337$8,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,772.43 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 70c | 23,450$16,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,035 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 52c | 5,224$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.77 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 45c | 4,103$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.4 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked No | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 31c | 1,386$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Yes | 45c | 974.13$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 12c | 952$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 569.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.15 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 57c | 545.53$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 69c | 487.96$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 29c | 342.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 41c | 263.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…66cabacked No | 71c | 261.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 16c | 188.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed No | 67c | 105.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 36c | 83.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…d54bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed No | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 63c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 68c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…5ae5backed Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-08-29?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-08-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.