TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87cd…b8f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.02
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.67
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$19.99
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$39
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$39.11
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$29.33
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$28.19
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.77
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$12.94
Blackhawks vs. Senatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$49
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.38
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$13.51
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$15.42
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$39.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$18.87
Braves vs. Metsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.6
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Giants vs. Marlinsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$23.6
White Sox vs. Metsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Phillies vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+233.3%+$25.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.