MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cab09685727dfbfbd7e367dc75f7ddfd3b863ccd3f964fa4d75a2f4c6b1c974
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Royals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $761,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Royals | 32c | 671,946$212,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212,423.78 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Cubs | 69c | 151,191$104,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,052.58 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 68c | 130,150$88,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,603 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cubs | 69c | 127,162$87,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,054.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 68c | 100,000$68,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cubs | 68c | 40,006$27,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,801.92 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 68c | 40,000$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,700 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Cubs | 68c | 36,000$24,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,520 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 69c | 24,000$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,399.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Royals | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cubs | 70c | 14,600$10,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.76 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 68c | 13,295$9,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 69c | 6,681$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.9 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Royals | 29c | 6,595$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.13 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 68c | 6,300$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Royals | 30c | 4,707$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.09 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 71c | 4,303$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 69c | 3,310$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.1 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cubs | 79c | 3,164$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.52 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Royals | 32c | 3,153$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.05 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Royals | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Royals | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 68c | 2,389$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.54 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 30c | 2,371$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.1 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cubs | 69c | 2,244$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.64 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Royals | 3c | 2,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 77c | 1,746$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.83 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Royals | 3c | 1,568$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Cubs | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Cubs | 69c | 1,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.26 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 31c | 1,364$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 31c | 1,300$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 24c | 1,125$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 68c | 1,119$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 28c | 1,115$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Royals | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…5f39backed Cubs | 70c | 918.42$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Royals | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 30c | 609.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Cubs | 69c | 569.25$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 31c | 551$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…d32dbacked Cubs | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 70c | 490$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cubs | 78c | 455.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 31c | 367.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 30c | 299.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 31c | 296$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 31c | 251.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 70c | 230.7$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…0f93backed Royals | 31c | 227.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 32c | 218.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Cubs | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cubs | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 73c | 167.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…250fbacked Royals | 32c | 153.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Royals | 31c | 148.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Royals | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Cubs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 31c | 136.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…d6d8backed Royals | 33c | 136.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Cubs | 69c | 107.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Royals | 28c | 107.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Royals | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc6…1107backed Cubs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…3df0backed Cubs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…6126backed Royals | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1c…5503backed Royals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…1f50backed Royals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…a164backed Cubs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…bd9dbacked Royals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…a473backed Cubs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…52d5backed Royals | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs | 69c | 99.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 22c | 98.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Royals | 30c | 95.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cubs | 73c | 91.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a3…df52backed Royals | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…ff0bbacked Royals | 32c | 87.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…312fbacked Cubs | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…49f1backed Cubs | 68c | 78.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…23acbacked Cubs | 69c | 78.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 71c | 77.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…e597backed Cubs | 69c | 77.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb645…ca95backed Royals | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…24e8backed Royals | 33c | 75.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.