NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b75b3c0b852e38635bc7cc567c523e66d45a06017bfc0038e46e06114074ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,426,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,335,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,426,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Clippers | 68c | 218,636$148,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,437.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Nuggets | 22c | 163,297$36,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,467.96 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Nuggets | 15c | 160,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…a516backed Clippers | 66c | 134,000$88,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,559.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8114…93b0backed Nuggets | 34c | 131,000$44,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 33c | 91,640$29,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,984.76 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Nuggets | 31c | 77,164$24,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,040.84 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 31c | 71,872$22,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,509.7 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 67c | 55,476$37,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,202.52 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 52,536$24,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,483.72 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 27c | 50,586$13,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,494.72 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Clippers | 71c | 47,819$33,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,004.09 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Nuggets | 32c | 35,677$11,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,416.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 77c | 24,518$18,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.72 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 29c | 24,445$7,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,052.62 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Nuggets | 38c | 23,412$8,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,957.92 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Clippers | 67c | 18,836$12,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.82 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 33c | 18,113$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.52 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Clippers | 69c | 18,079$12,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.41 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers | 65c | 16,083$10,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Clippers | 69c | 14,729$10,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.1 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Clippers | 68c | 13,871$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.87 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nuggets | 32c | 13,301$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.19 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Clippers | 67c | 10,695$7,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.43 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Clippers | 62c | 10,089$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 33c | 10,000$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.9 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…ee70backed Clippers | 65c | 9,993$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…8753backed Nuggets | 35c | 9,993$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 63c | 9,381$5,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,436.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Clippers | 68c | 9,118$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nuggets | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Nuggets | 34c | 7,576$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Nuggets | 0c | 7,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 70c | 6,773$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.9 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 33c | 6,657$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.97 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Clippers | 66c | 6,134$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.45 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nuggets | 33c | 5,734$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.7 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 31c | 5,227$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.3 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 31c | 5,162$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.22 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Nuggets | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Clippers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 32c | 4,892$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.33 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 36c | 4,738$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.88 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Clippers | 67c | 4,357$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.48 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Clippers | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Clippers | 64c | 3,662$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.52 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Nuggets | 34c | 3,585$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.5 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nuggets | 3c | 3,503$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 29c | 3,278$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.71 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…1ef2backed Nuggets | 34c | 3,233$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nuggets | 31c | 3,226$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nuggets | 16c | 3,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Clippers | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Nuggets | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.86 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,904$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.52 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Clippers | 59c | 2,874$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.78 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Nuggets | 40c | 2,850$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,767$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…337dbacked Nuggets | 22c | 2,600$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nuggets | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…a806backed Nuggets | 22c | 2,380$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Clippers | 76c | 2,276$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Clippers | 78c | 2,215$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.15 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 2c | 2,215$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Clippers | 68c | 2,059$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nuggets | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Clippers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…7008backed Nuggets | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…c211backed Nuggets | 34c | 1,974$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 26c | 1,943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…b991backed Clippers | 66c | 1,941$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,783$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…a886backed Clippers | 66c | 1,770$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,755$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.2 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Nuggets | 32c | 1,750$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nuggets | 36c | 1,750$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…c7bebacked Clippers | 66c | 1,726$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…6738backed Clippers | 66c | 1,710$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nuggets | 31c | 1,695$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.3 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Clippers | 67c | 1,669$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.68 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Clippers | 66c | 1,665$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Nuggets | 34c | 1,650$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,605$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Clippers | 65c | 1,605$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457c…fa41backed Nuggets | 35c | 1,591$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x352d…ef4bbacked Clippers | 65c | 1,588$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nuggets | 10c | 1,531$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Clippers | 68c | 1,518$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.76 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Nuggets | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Clippers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Nuggets | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 24c | 1,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed Nuggets | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Clippers | 69c | 1,491$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Clippers | 67c | 1,467$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.96 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Nuggets | 32c | 1,413$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.85 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.