TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe6ac…957d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.5
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Blackhawks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.15
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$26.85
Capitals vs. Ducksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$456
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$406
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$31.32
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$644.99
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$676
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,921Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,921
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,410.38
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$400
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+39%+$236.4
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$111
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$2,507.98
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$242.48
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$559.96
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$290
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,271.99
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.61
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.77
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.76
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$14.96
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$225
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.84
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+144.9%+$35.5
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,139.97
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,859.95
Dodgers vs. Metsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Padres vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
Padres vs. Bravesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$928.04
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$744
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$645.24
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,142.44
Orioles vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+88.2%+$1,133.64
Orioles vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Astros vs. Raysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$255
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98.57
Twins vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,243.23
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,489.45
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.66
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,090
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,320
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.32
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$561
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$284.2
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$528
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$128.75
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$423
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$141.47
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$695.98
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+400%+$824.69
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$28.15
Nets vs. Thunderbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$685.98
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.39
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+114.9%+$1,122.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$370.42
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.8
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$82.18
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Arsenal vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$84.38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$152
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.45
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.91
Will Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+900%+$900
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$370
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$782
Will FC Porto beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.71
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.2
Will Inter Milan beat Monterrey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,103.85
Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$222.5
Will Boca Juniors beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$345
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.16
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.01
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.43
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,332.72
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$568.39
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,003Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,546.9
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,189.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$202.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Will Manchester United vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$53.61
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$558
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.92
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.74
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$1,844.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,665.68
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$638.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland beat Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$84.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Valladolid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$250.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC beat Atlanta United FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,028.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.