Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4d53b8a0078057490794446f7b822a8d1e87df8496c096ce974ab41c531de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 48c | 25,746$12,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,446.72 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 49c | 24,386$12,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,013.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 52c | 19,053$9,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,220.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 52c | 16,026$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.39 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 55c | 13,421$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,381.75 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 52c | 12,308$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,907.69 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 50c | 11,780$5,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 4c | 9,721$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.51 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b316backed Yes | 61c | 9,368$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 43c | 9,302$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 49c | 8,206$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,013.7 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 49c | 7,552$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.72 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 49c | 5,117$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 58c | 5,068$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.86 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 51c | 3,415$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.95 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 49c | 2,948$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.25 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 50c | 2,705$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.4 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 50c | 2,377$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.75 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 2,032$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.14 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 50c | 2,012$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.19 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…04d5backed Yes | 51c | 1,978$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 50c | 1,918$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 40c | 1,808$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.39 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 1,603$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.52 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 51c | 1,451$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.98 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,235$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 50c | 1,232$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.94 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…ff54backed No | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 52c | 960.38$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 50c | 960$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 51c | 881$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.69 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 49c | 853.87$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4128…5165backed Yes | 50c | 795$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 49c | 757.61$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.48 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 50c | 680$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.2 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 51c | 675.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.23 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 49c | 669$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…33debacked Yes | 51c | 631.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 49c | 599.87$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.94 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 51c | 582.64$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.39 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 50c | 547.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 50c | 494.19$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…39c4backed Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 51c | 480.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.81 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…a5fabacked No | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 51c | 435.23$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6efc…c084backed No | 50c | 425$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 420.15$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.34 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…8cf2backed Yes | 45c | 404.44$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…6c3ebacked Yes | 51c | 401.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 52c | 351.65$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 50c | 312.8$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…5390backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 50c | 297.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…a5b0backed No | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 51c | 254.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 52c | 253.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 52c | 242.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 47c | 218.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 51c | 203.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a05…7afdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 197.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 52c | 195.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 53c | 187.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 49c | 172$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 48c | 155.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 7c | 145.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 51c | 136.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 47c | 135$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.