Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeade2674cd8738540f820f8f48bb915219478aa67cd7543bb50934b8ab5beb9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed No | 80c | 17,736$14,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 20c | 6,831$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.21 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 23c | 5,185$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.58 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 78c | 4,330$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.03 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 22c | 3,657$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.15 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,234$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.95 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 2,311$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.76 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 21c | 2,129$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.06 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…c743backed Yes | 20c | 2,001$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 17c | 1,980$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 1,904$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.73 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 24c | 1,633$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.94 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 78c | 1,000$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 20c | 899.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.99 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 23c | 847$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 15c | 743.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 77c | 567.13$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 79c | 550$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 78c | 537.53$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 20c | 322.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 24c | 233.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 76c | 204.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 76c | 203.95$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 76c | 186.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 165$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 24c | 145.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 21c | 135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…1184backed No | 77c | 134.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…f8a0backed No | 78c | 128.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 112.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed No | 77c | 99.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…7135backed No | 76c | 79.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…5cb5backed No | 77c | 76.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked No | 77c | 65.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…c70dbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed No | 77c | 62.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked No | 77c | 47.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa617…d842backed No | 77c | 46.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…466dbacked No | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 64cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…763fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 77c | 38.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…3df1backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…557cbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 78c | 28.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…da86backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…15e3backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…d768backed No | 77c | 25.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…e3b2backed No | 78c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…4e8dbacked No | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…dc74backed No | 77c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…1b95backed No | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…e9b2backed No | 77c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?this page
- Will Everton vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.