TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa177…6e84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT6753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Bulls vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13,860
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$678.09
Knicks vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+99.3%+$2,977.99
76ers vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,735Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$2,011
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.3%+$1,871.75
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+103.9%+$1,973.72
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,691.49
Kings vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,437.58
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$1,460.19
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+181.9%+$363.89
Arkansas State vs. Troybacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Spread: Auburn (-11.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$384.31
Spread: Washington State (-3.5)backed Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Central Michigan vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$289.54
Arizona State vs. Iowa State: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Army vs. Air Force: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$923.08
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Texas (-7.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.32
Western Michigan vs. Miami (OH)backed Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Iowa (-8.5)backed Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Penn State vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$301.75
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+66.3%+$331.43
Kansas vs. UCF: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$537
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$176.68
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+65.4%+$164.84
Lightning vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$172.62
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72%+$2,009.41
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$3,032.83
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,700
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,349
Utah vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$22.09
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$140.81
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$601.82
United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$155.56
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,140
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+111.5%+$2,230.22
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$187.16
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$792.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26%+$354.7
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$107
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Orioles vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Diamondbacks vs. Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Rockies vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.07
Omaha Mavericks vs. South Dakota Coyotes: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$142.86
Evansville Aces vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 128.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$137.25
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)backed Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pride: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$288
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Bravesbacked Valparaiso Beacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-7.5)backed Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Butler Bulldogs vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+261.2%+$783.49
Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-4.5)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$800
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$392.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$133.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$6,060
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.