NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa021b504415ab3f1c8bb648a1a5f32ae92890b4995efd921ca257bae4ac02191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Hurricanes, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kraken | 60c | 5,864$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.51 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hurricanes | 27c | 3,168$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.73 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurricanes | 40c | 2,972$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kraken | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.01 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 79c | 1,994$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.98 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 64c | 1,308$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.82 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hurricanes | 40c | 1,303$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.2 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hurricanes | 41c | 1,293$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.4 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Hurricanes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Kraken | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 876$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.4 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 35c | 508.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.82 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Hurricanes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Kraken | 60c | 441.68$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 58c | 408.55$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kraken | 60c | 366.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 348$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Hurricanes | 39c | 257.78$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Hurricanes | 43c | 233.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 57c | 201.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966d…eaa5backed Kraken | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Hurricanes | 41c | 174$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…f69ebacked Hurricanes | 41c | 153.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes | 40c | 147.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kraken | 60c | 132.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hurricanes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Kraken | 62c | 109$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Hurricanes | 41c | 82.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kraken | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Hurricanes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hurricanes | 30c | 54.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Hurricanes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Kraken | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…e940backed Hurricanes | 41c | 48.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Hurricanes | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Kraken | 59c | 40.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Kraken | 59c | 38.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…45e7backed Hurricanes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Kraken | 59c | 37.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Kraken | 59c | 36.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kraken | 58c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Hurricanes | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Kraken | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Hurricanes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Hurricanes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Kraken | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Hurricanes | 40c | 27.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Kraken | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Hurricanes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hurricanes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Kraken | 60c | 21.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 59c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. KrakenKraken won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.