NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe050cfc0473323e882c02603b218931c3dd2c7bd07ecee10c7073589e06639ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Under | 22c | 2,081$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +295.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 52c | 1,218$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.99 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 67c | 1,059$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.04 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 62c | 547.65$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 49c | 512.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 69c | 501.67$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 67c | 486.15$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 78c | 426.46$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.98 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 300.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 71c | 193.07$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 161.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 40c | 134$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2f…34b0backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 31c | 54.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 50c | 53.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 40c | 34.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 52c | 26.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x359a…8844backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. KrakenKraken won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.