NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8bad90c5356ae022ec20d0539c41644f11952c126b450b715c9288126551fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 55c | 4,332$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 54c | 2,471$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.09 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,616$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.8 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,610$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.68 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 44c | 1,519$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.57 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 56c | 1,345$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.15 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.1 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 593.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.69 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 56c | 539.07$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 38c | 427.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 387.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 345.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under | 63c | 317.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 268.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 133.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 36c | 115.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 65c | 80.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 52c | 72.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 44c | 53.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 56c | 53.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 61c | 35.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 34.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 25.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Under | 44c | 25.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 55c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. KrakenKraken won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.