TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5d0…1a0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.13
Spurs vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.37
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.96
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.94
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.83
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.15
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.97
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.9
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$3.82
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.62
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.8
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$11.01
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.92
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$6.57
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 4.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.13
Spread: Rockets (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.35
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.56
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.99
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.91
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.67
Southern Jaguars vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Ohio Bobcats vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.09
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-4.5)backed UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.31
Spread: Sacramento State Hornets (-1.5)backed Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Idaho State Bengals vs. Sacramento State Hornetsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)backed Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.37
Weber State Wildcats vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.48
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.45
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzlies (W)backed Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.97
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-5.5)backed Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.22
Montana State Bobcats vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.14
Spread: Delaware State Hornets (-1.5)backed South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.49
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Houston Christian Huskies (W)backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$29.98
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Morgan State Bears: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.31
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (W)backed Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.71
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+92.4%+$10.17
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.85
Map Handicap: WW (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)backed G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+34.2%+$5.6
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+41%+$7.35
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs WW Team (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.94
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.47
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.29
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.61
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.46
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.12
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked Falcons Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.11
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.81
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.44
Stars vs. Flames: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.9%+$21.46
Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.66
Blackhawks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4.55
Utah vs. Capitalsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.98
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.95
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.01
Hurricanes vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$14.07
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.89
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.23
Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7
Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Flames vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$18.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$35.39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$23.27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$12.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$20.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.12
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.43
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.83
Will Everton FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.03
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.14
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.99
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$13.81
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$62.39
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.18
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.6
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Nida Allam be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.62
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.65
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)backed CA Huracán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.63
CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.72
CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.26
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.34
Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)backed CA Banfield · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$22.5
CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.09
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.5
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+113.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be greater than 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+49%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.