South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb93ec1fab819877762b5829d4d923cc6eff1fb21864bb0680dfd94a3b2bdfd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 4,849$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Under | 41c | 1,726$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 59c | 1,270$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.3 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Under | 42c | 1,173$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 30c | 1,060$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 29c | 999.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 30c | 832.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 691.67$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 564.25$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 56c | 547.63$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.84 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 465.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 50c | 445.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Over | 48c | 281.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 54c | 230.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over | 44c | 217.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 213.11$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 199.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 29c | 157.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 31c | 155.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 15c | 129.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 123.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 122.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 30c | 87.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Under | 61c | 75.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 55c | 72.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 51c | 68.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 28c | 53.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 68c | 52.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca7…03d8backed Over | 31c | 48.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 69c | 45.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 59c | 42.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 72c | 39.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 58c | 36.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d17…d4dcbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 67c | 29.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…f7b0backed Under | 46c | 26.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 25.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 47c | 21.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Over | 59c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-2.5)Estudiantes de La Plata won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.