TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0687…77bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 64 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.09
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+343.1%+$81.78
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.79
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$41.83
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
AS Roma vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4122%9 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.27
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+136%+$35.39
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+880.6%+$124.98
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$25.05
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$127.45
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$46.88
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.64
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.57
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
São Paulo FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.21
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.51
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$100.42
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$128.03
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+458.6%+$119.24
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.8%+$74.55
Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+144%+$28.79
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.65
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+389.1%+$233.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.81
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+1,315.1%+$211.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.35
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.69
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.6
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.73
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$57.76
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$70.45
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$69.78
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+168%+$126.02
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+196%+$96.39
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.31
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.6
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$146.83
All 22 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.46per pick34cpaid+220.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+1,083.4%+$270.84
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+535.4%+$107.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+231.5%+$138.87
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+241.4%+$51.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.12
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+227.1%+$54.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Toulouse FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+252.5%+$54.5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525.4%+$262.7
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$43.83
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.